Below average
The unchanged precon wins 18% of its games – the average at a four-player table is 25%. In the rankings up to €500 it would be #43 of 64.
- Tier · Elo
- C 1451 would be #43 of 64 in the rankings up to €500
- Win rate
- 18% 7 wins in 40 games, 95% certain between 9 and 32%
- Placements
- 118%7×
- 230%12×
- 330%12×
- 422%9×
- Price
- €60.19of €500.00
- Games
- 40in 4 tournaments
- Cards
- 10038 lands, 32 basic
- Game Changer
- 0at most 3 allowed
- Combos
- 0complete in the deck
- Rules check
- Passed100 cards, colors, banlist
Official Commander precon “Reign of Dragons” – played exactly as sold in stores, without a single change. It plays in every tournament and price class as a benchmark, so it is not ranked. Why do precons play?
Strengths and weaknesses
From 40 analysed games in 4 tournaments (tournament lists as played by Forge). Games that hit the time limit don't count, just like in the rankings. Values in brackets: average of all decks in the same price class.
Play style: wins through combat – 82% of the damage to opponents is combat damage
Strengths
- Applies a lot of pressure: avg 49 damage to opponents per game (all-deck avg: 29) logged (40 games)
- Uses its mana well: only 13% of lands went unused in a turn (all-deck avg: 26%) – the deck almost always has something to play logged (measured on own turns 3–8, 40 games)
- Stable mana: fewer than 3 lands after turn 3 in only 0% of games (all-deck avg: 9%) logged (0 of 40 games)
- Clears the table: eliminates 0.90 opponents per game on average (all-deck avg: 0.62) logged (40 games)
Weaknesses
- Slow to win: wins on average only on its 12th own turn (all-deck avg: 11th) logged (7 wins)
- Vulnerable to attacks: 73% of losses to combat damage (all-deck avg: 59%) logged (24 of 33 losses)
Commander (1)
Creatures (27)
- Utvara Hellkite€5.01
- Goldlust Triad€3.96
- Dragonhawk, Fate's Tempest Card draw€2.20
- Scourge of Valkas Removal€1.99
- Hellkite Charger€1.39
- Dragonspeaker Shaman€1.12
- Shivan Devastator€0.95
- Leyline Tyrant€0.84
- Anger€0.60
- Taurean Mauler€0.58
- Thundermane Dragon€0.55
- Terror of Mount Velus€0.51
- Parapet Thrasher Removal€0.50
- Drakuseth, Maw of Flames Removal€0.39
- Minion of the Mighty€0.38
- Tyrant's Familiar RemovalAI limited€0.37
- Atsushi, the Blazing Sky Ramp€0.35
- Nogi, Draco-Zealot€0.35
- Scourge of the Throne€0.33
- Skyline Despot€0.33
- Dragonmaster Outcast€0.31
- Sarkhan, Dragon Ascendant Ramp€0.30
- Thunderbreak Regent€0.24
- Goddric, Cloaked Reveler€0.17
- Dragonlord's Servant€0.16
- Firespitter Whelp€0.13
- Rapacious Dragon€0.07
Instants (8)
- Breath Weapon€5.93
- Unexpected Windfall Ramp€3.09
- Lightning Bolt Removal€0.99
- Chaos Warp Removal€0.35
- Spit Flame Removal€0.19
- Magmaquake Board wipe€0.09
- Abrade Removal€0.09
- Thrill of Possibility Card draw€0.04
Sorceries (5)
- Chandra's Ignition€3.80
- Blasphemous Act Board wipe€1.31
- Mana Geyser€0.90
- Hit the Mother Lode Ramp€0.33
- Chain Reaction Board wipe€0.19
Artifacts (13)
- Herald's Horn€3.30
- Basilisk Collar€2.92
- Swiftfoot Boots Protection€0.96
- Sol Ring Ramp€0.81
- Hazoret's Monument Card draw€0.69
- Orb of Dragonkind Ramp€0.53
- Dragon's Hoard Ramp€0.35
- Arcane Signet Ramp€0.33
- Cursed Mirror Ramp€0.29
- Carnelian Orb of Dragonkind Ramp€0.20
- Fire Diamond Ramp€0.16
- Dragonstorm Globe Ramp€0.13
- Commander's Sphere Ramp€0.09
Enchantments (8)
- Dragon Tempest Removal€1.96
- Warstorm Surge Removal€0.58
- Crucible of FireAI limited€0.47
- Bitter Reunion Card draw€0.43
- Count on Luck€0.33
- The Elder Dragon War Board wipe€0.24
- Outpost Siege€0.18
- Breaching Dragonstorm€0.15
Lands (38)
- War Room€1.88
- Haven of the Spirit DragonAI limited€0.54
- Spinerock Knoll€0.41
- Bonders' Enclave€0.33
- Forgotten Cave€0.11
- Temple of the False GodAI limited€0.09
- 32× Mountain
The games in numbers
- Commander cast
- 100%of games, by turn 4 in 12%
- Damage per game
- 49average: 29
- Wins on average
- turn 12.3own turn, average: 11.4
- First one out
- 15%6 of 40 games, average: 25%
- Too few lands
- 0%of games, 0 of them won, average: 9%
- Mulligans
- 10%4 in 40 games, average: 5%
Cards with a measurable effect
A correlation, not proof: these cards were cast clearly more often in wins.
- Breaching Dragonstorm – won 45% of the games in which it was cast (11), otherwise 7%
- Terror of Mount Velus – won 40% of the games in which it was cast (10), otherwise 10%
What the games show
From 40 analysed games in 4 tournaments (tournament lists as played by Forge). Games that hit the time limit don't count, just like in the rankings. Values in brackets: average of all decks in the same price class. “logged”: recorded in the game log. “indication”: recurring pattern, but no proof of cause and effect.
Damage per game all games
Total damage to opponents ÷ all 40 games – what the card contributes over the whole test
- Lathliss, Dragon Queen avg 13.1hit in 30 of 40 games
- Dragon Token avg 7.5hit in 20 of 40 games
- Dragonhawk, Fate's Tempest avg 3.3hit in 7 of 40 games
Damage when used when it hits
Total damage ÷ games in which the card dealt damage – its strength when used
- Dragonhawk, Fate's Tempest avg 18.9hit in 7 of 40 games
- Firespitter Whelp avg 18.8hit in 5 of 40 games
- Goldlust Triad avg 17.8hit in 4 of 40 games
Top finishers eliminates opponents
Cards that most often knocked an opposing commander out of the game
- Lathliss, Dragon Queen 16×40 games in deck
- Dragon Token 10×40 games in deck
- Goldlust Triad 2×40 games in deck
Best interaction answers threats
Opposing cards destroyed, exiled, bounced or countered when this card resolved (tokens excluded)
- Spit Flame 4×avg 0.1 per game · 40 games in deck
- Parapet Thrasher 4×avg 0.1 per game · 40 games in deck
- Lathliss, Dragon Queen 4×avg 0.1 per game · 40 games in deck
Biggest walls blocks the most
Opposing cards that blocked this deck's attackers most often – 11% of 401 attackers blocked in total, 41% of those by flyers or reach
Not enough blocks logged yet.
Rarely cast candidates to cut
Cards in this list that were cast least often in their games – often too expensive or too slow (lands excluded)
- Thrill of Possibility 2%cast in 1 of 40 games
- Unexpected Windfall 2%cast in 1 of 40 games
- Hazoret's Monument 5%cast in 2 of 40 games
Wins by turn speed
On which own turn the 7 wins came
- by turn 70%
- turns 8–943%
- turns 10–110%
- turns 12–1314%
- turn 14+43%
Elo history
Elo after every tournament, oldest on the left. Dashed: tier limits S, A, B, C.
Now 1451, highest 1502 (11/02), lowest 1451 – from 4 tournaments.
Recent games
Place in every 4-player game, oldest on the left: gold = win, silver = 2nd, bronze = 3rd, red = 4th, ring = draw.
2123312332243414341143232434123324222134In the last 40 games 7× win, 12× 2nd, 12× 3rd and 9× 4th.
Mana curve without lands
Average 3.69
Roles in the deck
Count / target from the EDHREC average deck (the line), red means clearly below. Strategy: the remaining cards without one of these roles, such as the creatures and effects the deck is built around. 61 non-land cards in total.
Card types
- Creatures27%27
- Instants8%8
- Sorceries5%5
- Artifacts13%13
- Enchantments8%8
- Lands38%38
Most expensive cards
Shopping list for Cardmarket
Copy the list, create a new list under “Wants” on Cardmarket and paste it.
Total €60.19 Cardmarket average as of Nov 6, 2026
Open Cardmarket WantsPrices without shipping. Individual cards may have become cheaper or more expensive on Cardmarket.
Played by the Forge AI, four players per game. An average deck wins 25%. How are decks tested?
