Solid midfield
The deck won 23% of its games – the average at a four-player table is 25%. With its Elo it would be #26 of 64 in the rankings up to €200.
- Tier · Elo
- B 1512 would be #26 of 64 in the rankings up to €200
- Win rate
- 23% 38 wins in 165 games, 90% certain between 18 and 29%
- Placements
- 122%9×
- 222%9×
- 320%8×
- 435%14×
- Price
- €200.64of €200.00
- Games
- 180in 18 tournaments, 15 not scored (time limit)
- Cards
- 10034 lands, 19 basic
- Game Changer
- 0at most 3 allowed
- Combos
- 1complete in the deck
- Rules check
- Passed100 cards, colors, banlist
This commander dropped out of the EDHREC top, so it no longer plays in new tournaments. All numbers here come from its 165 games so far. It is no longer listed in the rankings.
Time limit note: 8% of this deck's games hit the time limit without a winner even on the third try (all decks in this price class: 5%). Usually the Forge AI is stuck in a loop then, e.g. with lots of tokens. These games don't count – so the win rate is somewhat less meaningful.
At most €200 including the commander. If prices rise above that, the shopping list is rebuilt automatically.
Strengths and weaknesses
From 165 analysed games in 18 tournaments (tournament lists as played by Forge). Games that hit the time limit don't count, just like in the rankings. Values in brackets: average of all decks in the same price class.
Play style: wins mostly through direct damage – only 27% is combat damage · How it wins: 18% of wins by surviving (knocked out at most one opponent itself, the others took each other out) – all-deck avg: 31%
Strengths
- Attacks get through: 6% of attackers blocked (all-deck avg: 17%) logged (1450 attackers in 165 games)
- Wins fast: wins on average already on its 11th own turn (all-deck avg: 12th) logged (38 wins)
Weaknesses
- Often eliminated first: in 38% of games (all-deck avg: 25%) logged (63 of 165 games)
- Depends on its commander: only 0% wins without it, 26% with it indication (17 games without, 148 with commander)
Commander (1)
- Arabella, Abandoned DollCombo€0.33
Creatures (32)
- Delney, Streetwise Lookout€29.56
- Voice of Victory€20.04
- Imperial Recruiter€9.38
- Mother of Runes Protection€9.37
- Agate InstigatorCombo€7.48
- Recruiter of the Guard€6.37
- Ainok Strike Leader€5.37
- Anim Pakal, Thousandth Moon€4.51
- Enduring Innocence Card draw€4.13
- Jacked Rabbit Card draw€3.59
- Welcoming Vampire Card draw€3.59
- Krenko, Tin Street Kingpin€2.68
- Adeline, Resplendent Cathar€2.40
- Siege-Gang Lieutenant€1.99
- Krenko, Mob Boss€1.37
- Witty RoastmasterCombo€1.15
- Selfless Spirit Protection€0.92
- Rumor Gatherer Card draw€0.42
- Skyknight Vanguard€0.40
- Iron Myr Ramp€0.36
- The Jolly Balloon Man€0.35
- Ornithopter of Paradise Ramp€0.34
- Gold Myr Ramp€0.32
- Loyal Apprentice€0.25
- Molten GatekeeperCombo€0.20
- Solemn Simulacrum Ramp€0.20
- Splitskin Doll Card draw€0.19
- Irreverent Gremlin Card draw€0.15
- Subira, Tulzidi Caravanner Card drawAI limited€0.14
- Mentor of the Meek Card draw€0.10
- Ragged Playmate€0.09
- Hardened Escort Protection€0.07
Planeswalkers (1)
- Elspeth, Sun's Champion Board wipe€0.39
Instants (10)
- Flawless Maneuver Protection€7.82
- Untimely Malfunction Removal€5.89
- Boros Charm Protection€4.52
- Swords to Plowshares Removal€1.08
- Grand Crescendo Protection€0.89
- Path to Exile Removal€0.84
- Generous Gift Removal€0.66
- Chaos Warp Removal€0.38
- Secure the Wastes€0.32
- Abrade Removal€0.09
Sorceries (7)
- Song of Totentanz€2.82
- The Battle of Bywater Board wipe€2.55
- Raise the Past€1.02
- Storm HerdCombo€0.34
- Fell the Mighty Board wipe€0.23
- Dusk // Dawn Board wipe€0.22
- Hop to It€0.10
Artifacts (10)
- Skullclamp Card draw€4.28
- Lightning Greaves Protection€3.22
- Oketra's Monument€2.97
- Idol of Oblivion Card draw€1.53
- Swiftfoot Boots Protection€0.96
- Sol Ring Ramp€0.84
- Fellwar Stone Ramp€0.74
- Boros Signet RampAI can't play€0.52
- Arcane Signet Ramp€0.30
- Talisman of Conviction Ramp€0.30
Enchantments (5)
- ReconnaissanceAI can't play€5.78
- Impact TremorsCombo€2.30
- Windcrag Siege€0.37
- Assemble the Legion€0.16
- Raid Bombardment€0.10
Lands (34)
- Sacred Foundry€8.59
- Spectator Seating€5.58
- Needleverge Pathway // Pillarverge Pathway€3.98
- Sunbaked Canyon€3.27
- Sokenzan, Crucible of Defiance€2.53
- Sundown Pass€1.86
- Access Tunnel€0.55
- Rugged PrairieAI can't play€0.33
- Rogue's Passage€0.29
- Battlefield Forge€0.27
- Castle Ardenvale€0.25
- Clifftop Retreat€0.24
- Exotic Orchard€0.19
- Furycalm Snarl€0.19
- Command Tower€0.18
- 7× Mountain
- 12× Plains
Combos in the deck (1)
Detected from the decklist (Commander Spellbook): theoretically possible, see Spellbook for requirements. Whether a combo actually came together in games is shown in the “Games” tab.
- Storm Herd + … → Near-infinite creature ETB, Near-infinite damage, Near-infinite creature tokens
5 versions, each with one of: Impact Tremors · Arabella, Abandoned Doll · Molten Gatekeeper · Agate Instigator · Witty Roastmaster
Commander Spellbook lists 5 entries because every version counts separately (for example with a different sacrifice outlet). Here each combo counts once.
Show all 5 entries
- Storm Herd + Impact Tremors → Near-infinite creature ETB, Near-infinite creature tokens, Near-infinite damage
- Arabella, Abandoned Doll + Storm Herd → Near-infinite damage, Near-infinite lifegain, Near-infinite creature ETB
- Storm Herd + Molten Gatekeeper → Near-infinite creature ETB, Near-infinite creature tokens, Near-infinite damage
- Storm Herd + Agate Instigator → Near-infinite creature ETB, Near-infinite creature tokens, Near-infinite damage
- Storm Herd + Witty Roastmaster → Near-infinite creature ETB, Near-infinite creature tokens, Near-infinite damage
Adjusted for the Forge AI
The list above is the best tested version, the way you would play it in real games. The Forge AI can't play a few cards – they were replaced in the tournament (the deck builder also rearranges other slots within the budget). The win rate comes from games with these replacements; the original cards themselves were not tested by the AI.
- Boros Signet: AI can't play it
- Reconnaissance: AI can't play it
- Rugged Prairie: AI can't play it
- Evolving Wilds: replacement
- Professional Face-Breaker: replacement
- Tocasia's Welcome: replacement
The games in numbers
- Commander cast
- 100%of games, by turn 4 in 45%
- Damage per game
- 33average: 30
- Wins on average
- turn 10.8own turn, average: 11.8
- First one out
- 38%63 of 165 games, average: 25%
- Too few lands
- 11%of games, 3 of them won, average: 10%
- Mulligans
- 1%1 in 165 games, average: 6%
Cards with a measurable effect
A correlation, not proof: these cards were cast clearly more often in wins.
- Mother of Runes – won 42% of the games in which it was cast (31), otherwise 19%
- Elspeth, Sun's Champion – won 47% of the games in which it was cast (17), otherwise 20%
- Arabella, Abandoned Doll – won 26% of the games in which it was cast (148), otherwise 0%
What the games show
From 165 analysed games in 18 tournaments (tournament lists as played by Forge). Games that hit the time limit don't count, just like in the rankings. Values in brackets: average of all decks in the same price class. “logged”: recorded in the game log. “indication”: recurring pattern, but no proof of cause and effect.
Damage per game all games
Total damage to opponents ÷ all 165 games – what the card contributes over the whole test
- Arabella, Abandoned Doll avg 12.6hit in 80 of 165 games
- Agate Instigator avg 4.0hit in 27 of 165 games
- Molten Gatekeeper avg 2.4hit in 29 of 165 games
Damage when used when it hits
Total damage ÷ games in which the card dealt damage – its strength when used
- Weftstalker Ardent avg 26.5hit in 13 of 165 games
- Arabella, Abandoned Doll avg 25.9hit in 80 of 165 games
- Agate Instigator avg 24.2hit in 27 of 165 games
Top finishers eliminates opponents
Cards that most often knocked an opposing commander out of the game
- Arabella, Abandoned Doll 50×165 games in deck
- Agate Instigator 9×165 games in deck
- Weftstalker Ardent 7×58 games in deck
Best interaction answers threats
Opposing cards destroyed, exiled, bounced or countered when this card resolved (tokens excluded)
- Fell the Mighty 124×avg 0.8 per game · 165 games in deck
- The Battle of Bywater 110×avg 0.7 per game · 165 games in deck
- Dusk 80×avg 0.5 per game · 165 games in deck
Biggest walls blocks the most
Opposing cards that blocked this deck's attackers most often – 6% of 1450 attackers blocked in total, 18% of those by flyers or reach
Not enough blocks logged yet.
Rarely cast candidates to cut
Cards in this list that were cast least often in their games – often too expensive or too slow (lands excluded)
- Storm Herd 2%cast in 4 of 165 games
- Grand Crescendo 7%cast in 12 of 165 games
- Hop to It 8%cast in 14 of 165 games
Wins by turn speed
On which own turn the 38 wins came
- by turn 73%
- turns 8–929%
- turns 10–1137%
- turns 12–1321%
- turn 14+11%
Combos in play logged Storm Herd + Impact Tremors: all pieces cast in 1 games, 1 won · Arabella, Abandoned Doll + Storm Herd: all pieces cast in 4 games, 3 won · Storm Herd + Molten Gatekeeper: all pieces cast in 0 games, 0 won · Storm Herd + Agate Instigator: all pieces cast in 1 games, 1 won
Elo history
Elo after every tournament, oldest on the left. Dashed: tier limits S, A, B, C.
Now 1512, highest 1558 (10/21), lowest 1472 – from 18 tournaments.
Recent games
Place in every 4-player game, oldest on the left: gold = win, silver = 2nd, bronze = 3rd, red = 4th, ring = draw.
1344313131442114224422143442231234312444In the last 40 games 9× win, 9× 2nd, 8× 3rd and 14× 4th.
Mana curve without lands
Average 2.74
Roles in the deck
Count / target from the EDHREC average deck (the line), red means clearly below. Strategy: the remaining cards without one of these roles, such as the creatures and effects the deck is built around. 65 non-land cards in total.
Card types
- Creatures32%32
- Planeswalkers1%1
- Instants10%10
- Sorceries7%7
- Artifacts10%10
- Enchantments5%5
- Lands34%34
Most expensive cards
What the program has learned
Each tournament the deck tests one card. A verdict needs at least 40 games with and without the card. Since the deck is rebuilt every tournament with current prices and data, tested cards can drop out again later.
- no clear difference Irreverent Gremlin instead of Rumor Gatherer · win rate 23% with, 22% without (107 / 58 games)
Shopping list for Cardmarket
Copy the list, create a new list under “Wants” on Cardmarket and paste it.
Total €200.64 Cardmarket average as of Nov 7, 2026
Open Cardmarket WantsPrices without shipping. Individual cards may have become cheaper or more expensive on Cardmarket.
Played by the Forge AI, four players per game. An average deck wins 25%. How are decks tested?
